Pages

Showing posts with label Prospects. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Prospects. Show all posts

Monday, September 7, 2026

2026 Phillies Mid-Season Top-31 Prospects - Middleground

This next group of prospects is a big mix of guys who are coming and going for one reason or another. They're guys I felt like were locks for this list, as opposed to the bottom handful, though not high-probability impact guys like the top group.


#25 - Jean Cabrera


It's tough to see Cabrera having fallen this far so quickly, but this is arguably a GENEROUS ranking considering some have already dropped him from their lists. His results in AAA were nightmarish, and getting dropped back to AA (and off the 40-man roster) barely helped. Without the premier stuff to fall back on, that prospect luster continues to fade rapidly.


Since writing this initial draft, the Phillies went and released him. Welp...


#24 - Devin Saltiban


After a lost 2025, a strong ABL run reenergized Saltiban's prospect hype some, but continued struggles in the first half of 2026 torpedoed that. The physical tools are still enticing and he's still just 21, but if he continues to struggle without much improvement at A+, it's hard to imagine him succeeding in the higher Minors.


#23 - Mavis Graves


Graves was on his way to jumping up this list after following up a strong finish to the 2025 season with a hot start in 2026 (3.38 ERA, .197 OPPBA, 51 K in 34.2 IP through 9 starts). Those results backed up in June into July, however, as he limped to the break with a 4.97 ERA overall. Graves was recently moved to a relief role for Reading, though I'm not quite sure this will work as he lacks a RP-style arsenal.


#22 - Felix Reyes


Reyes was a guy who I challenged to continue his AA success from 2025 into 2026 at AAA. Thanks to a strong run in April (.294/.291/.612) and May (.300/.324/.614), that bore out, though his MLB cup of coffee was...not great, and certainly left me doubting again if he's got the chops for the Majors. Still, it's early, but it stands to wonder how much leash he'll get on the 40-man roster or if his first MLB look was simply a product of pressing roster need over actual belief in Reyes's MLB upside.


#21 - Alirio Ferrebus


Ferrebus is a guy who has shot up rankings this year with a great season at the plate for Clearwater. A torrid slash line of .322/.375/.516 in the first half turned a lot of heads, and he came in red hot. Still, his receiving is a work in progress, and like teammate Griff Burkholder, he'll need to keep up that momentum in Lakewood for me to really believe he's turned a corner. He did actually get that promotion shortly after the break, but quickly went down with a season-ending injury.


#20 - Chan Min Park


Park hasn't pitched yet in the pros so there's not much for me to report on him - he really just makes the list off of pedigree as one of the top arms in the 2026 international class.


#19 - Chuck King


I continue to view King as a RP at the highest level, though he's made progress as a starter to where I could see him starting out in that role. Bumped up to AAA in April, he posted a 4.02 in nine pre-break starts for Lehigh, allowing more than two runs in only two of those outings. As things stand, he's playing himself into the 6th SP conversation though his stuff could play as a very useful MIRP for the big club.


#18 - Alan Rangel


Rangel presumably exceeded rookie limits over the break, hence why his status on the list is provisional backdated to the break. The book on him is similar to King - up-and-down spot starter with better stuff out of the bullpen. Slightly more success at AAA and some decent showings on occasion in the Majors give him the edge for the 18th spot.


#17 - Moisés Chace


Chace is a weird rank for a lot of reasons. The 2024 season was electric, but his start to 2025 was unimpressive before he hit the IL and needed Tommy John Surgery. Even if he were to come back in 2026, not much he would do can change his ranking. 2027 will be a big year for him.


#16 - Carson DeMartini


An ice-cold first week of April had it looking like DeMartini maybe just couldn't hack it at AA, but then the switch flipped from April 11th through May 6th, he slashed a torrid .321/.398/.513 over 19 contests. That run wouldn't last though, as he'd miss the rest of the first half with injury. That all considered, his ranking hasn't moved much, but those 1st half results certainly suggested he's finally figuring out AA ball. How he finishes the AA season could change his rankings a lot.


#15 - Bryan Rincon


Rincon follows Ferrebus and Reyes as guys who I did not rank at the start of the season on needing to "see it". Well, there's sure been a lot to see from Rincon this year. Consistently producing at the plate while being a wiz at SS, he worked to a .256/.390/.469 slash line in 71 first half games as one of the Eastern League's best players. He'll need to keep it up after years of struggles at the plate for me to really buy it, but the progress is undeniable for a guy at 22 jumping to AA after a poor hitting season a level lower.


#14 - Wen Hui Pan


It's hard to really do much with the rankings of a guy like Pan who missed a year and then is just coming back from Tommy John Surgery. He didn't get up to AA until mid-June and got tagged pretty hard (1.021 opponent's OPS) while not missing many bats (only 3 K in 8 IP) in the following month. Still, he's quite green in pro ball even for being almost 24, and just getting his sea legs back under him, so these stats don't mean much. A strong finish to the season will help him a lot.


#13 - Alex McFarlane


Much has happened with McFarlane since the All-Star Break, so writing this retroactive to my ASB rankings is even harder than for anyone else. At that point, he was still pitching in AA, and while he was dominating and had aced every test, I had still wanted to see him succeed higher up to really move him up the rankings. He'll probably exceed rookie limits this year, but were I to make a September update, he certainly will have moved up.

Friday, July 31, 2026

2026 Phillies Mid-Season Top-31 Prospects - Yep, These are Definitely Prospects

Over the All-Star Break I finalized my top prospects list for the Phillies, so it's time now to break down the rankings. Firstly, I will note this list actually has 31 guys because Alan Rangel MIGHT have exceeded rookie limits over the break, but I can't confirm this, so he has provisional status on this list. And truthfully, I kinda struggled with the guys in 26th and on, so it looks a bit odd in this section. Anyway, let's jump right in with the bottom of the list.

We start with the new additions. The team added 6 guys in the Draft that I would consider likely to be on this list were I to include the new draftees (I don't because at the time of this list, most hadn't signed). These 6 are Tyler Spangler, Will Gasparino, Ruger Riojas, Jaxon Jelkin, Bo Rhudy, and Caden Bogenpohl. The top 3 would be locks, with Spangler being in the top 10 and Gasparino and Riojas being somewhere in the next 10 in particular. They would likely replace some of the following:

#31 - Brian Keller

Keller caught my eye the moment the Phillies signed him nearly three years out of the game. Injuries derailed his career after a strong run in AAA culminating in 2023, but he's back to dominating hitters at the AAA level, and recently earned a promotion to the Majors. He's probably more of a AAAA swingman type, but he's beat every challenge to this point, so him becoming a viable MLB pitcher wouldn't be too shocking.

#30 - Tanner Gresham

Gresham turns 25 in September and hasn't mastered High-A yet, but his strong pro start at Clearwater got me a bit intrigued that he's more than just a neat little story. The West Point product's underlying numbers aren't fantastic, but again, he's still in his first pro season, and hitting the ground running from the jump stands as a good sign.

#29 - Sean Youngerman

Youngerman started the season sitting near some of last year's top draftees, but he's had a poor season and his stuff has yet to take a step forward like the team presumably hoped. He did just turn 22, but he's looking more and more like a reliever in the future.

#28 - Griff Burkholder

After struggling with injury in 2025 and having a tough April, Burkholder slashed .289/.398/.519 in May and June to jump back up prospect boards, but I'm not exactly convinced. Otherwise as a pro he's been injury prone and unproductive, and his K rate remains high. If he keep up the momentum for Jersey Shore I might buy the breakout, but for now now, I'm not buying his stock.

#27 - Brad Pacheco

Long listed as a prospect to watch in the low Minors, Pacheco struggled in his stateside debut last year, but has looked up to the task in an aggressive move up to Clearwater. Reports state he's vastly overhauled his arsenal, and the numbers back it up. He's a guy who just needs to keep up the momentum and he'll keep rising up this list.

#26 - Juan Parra

A big name #2 piece in the latest Phillies signing class, Parra has emerged as one of the better players in the DSL at just 17. He slashed .299/.457/.393 prior to the break and evaluators have been impressed. Unlike a Francisco Renteria, however, he does not have the loud tools that would rank a DSL prospect higher. If he does this again nest year, however, he could rocket up the list.

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - The Top

I will be putting out my midseason Phillies prospect list soon, but I forgot to post my top 8 for the start of the season previously. They were as follows:

1. Aidan Miller
2. Andrew Painter
3. Dante Nori
4. Justin Crawford
5. Keaton Anthony
6. Gabriel Rincones Jr.
7. Aroon Escobar
8. Jean Cabrera

This list has aged less than ideally to say the least. I had Jean Cabrera fairly high up due to a strong season in the unfriendly environs of Reading due a high floor - unfortunately that hasn't borne out. Aroon Escobar has played with a well-rounded approach at levels advanced for his age, but his experience above the Low-A level has shown for sure. He remains a longer-term project. Gabriel Rincones Jr. and Keaton Anthony were guys I had as contenders for the OD roster before injuries. The former hasn't had crazy numbers at AAA, but still has a lot of solid skills that should make him an effective MLB player, and the latter's torrid pace last year should still have him in the Majors in short order, even while blocked at 1B. Justin Crawford and Dante Nori came in close for me, but I leaned towards the latter's more balanced ceiling over the polish and contact-oriented approach of Crawford. Hard to tell if either have All-Star ceilings, but their floors are pretty high. Andrew Painter had a tough last year and it's continued into this year, but I still believe now as I did at the start of the year that his talent is worth holding onto. Finally, Aidan Miller takes the top spot after a season where he really showed all the tools, hitting for power and contact, stealing bases, and improving drastically at SS. Even with his injury concerns, I still believe he's a future star in this lineup.

Sunday, April 5, 2026

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - Welcome to the Club

This next group of prospects is a composite list that more or less comprises of the guys that aren't in the group that I think are high-probability moderate-impact MLB contributors, but have more going for them than the group from 21 on. Here's that group from 9-20:

9. Carson DeMartini
10. Yoniel Curet
11. Wen Hui Pan
12. Devin Saltiban
13. Gage Wood
14. Francisco Renteria
15. Cade Obermueller
16. Matthew Fisher
17. Moisés Chace
18. Ramon Marquez
19. Sean Youngerman
20. Mavis Graves

I wanted badly to be pushing Carson DeMartini up the list after he landed at 7th on my mid-season list last year, but even with two departures ahead of him, he falls off of a miserable 2nd half with Reading. He's a guy who's likely to fall hard if he can't recapture his Jersey Shore form this year. Yoniel Curet is the guy I forgot about listing before making my original list, and I had trouble placing him. A divisive prospect that the Rays gave up on, he's probably not sticking around in the rotation, even with great numbers up through AA in that role, but he could be a very good reliever. Better health is what puts him over Wen Hui Pan, who I really need to stay on the mound after he comes back from Tommy John at some point this season. Devin Saltiban rises largely because of graduations in front of him, but also thanks to a strong ABL run that showed he's not totally lost at the plate. The ceiling is still enticing with him, but he remains very raw. The next group is composed of the better additions the team has made in the draft and international free agency in the past year. Gage Wood naturally leads the way as one of the better arms in the system. If he can stay on the mound and be successful, he can rise quickly, both in the Minors and on this list. Francisco Renteria represents one of the biggest swings the Phillies have made in the international amateur market, and is probably the biggest boom-bust bet on this list. Cade Obermueller and Matthew Fisher are not as heralded as Wood, but are arms with solid polish who have rotation upside. Moisés Chace remains a hard name to rank after Tommy John surgery nixed a chance for him to build on a breakout 2024 season. His future still feels like it resides in the bullpen. Ramon Marquez is very green, but has generated a lot of buzz for his work as a first-year pro last year, one during which he made A-ball before turnng 20. He's a name to watch this season. Sean Youngerman represents the third tier of names from the last draft as a guy who's not quite as exciting as Obermueller or Fisher, but is a better bet to succeed than Cody Bowker. Finally, Mavis Graves hangs on at 20 thanks to a strong finish to last season.

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - The Backend

Our analysis of the top 30 begins at the bottom if you've read through my lists before, mostly because of shuffling above this section a lot of guys here holding serve, and some guys outside the top 30 not really doing enough to jump up. Anyways, this section was SUPPOSED to be 20-30, but I forgot someone higher up the list in between making my last post and this one, so it's 21-30 plus our new 1st man out. Either way, here's that contingent:

21. Alex McFarlane
22. Andrew Walling
23. José Rodríguez
24. Raylin Heredia
25. Alex Binelas
26. Charles King
27. Alan Rangel
28. Cody Bowker
29. Tristan Garnett
30. Daniel Harper
31. Griff Burkholder

This group is largely composed of mid-ceiling guys, plus a few names that are farther away from the Majors that need to prove more to advance on this list, and more than a few injuries. Griff Burkholder falls out of the top 30 after barely hanging on in my 1st edition of this list due to a miserable season where he failed to generate much momentum at all, much unlike fellow 2024 draftee Dante Nori. Daniel Harper's a good stuff guy, but is also coming off an unimpressive season, and has fallen off by the evaluation of even the analysts most bullish of him. It's put up or shut up time for him. Similar goes for Tristan Garnett, a guy whose stuff is less impressive, but his numbers are moreso. 2025 3rd rounder Cody Bowker is loved by evaluators, but is a pretty extreme project as a recent convertee to the mound. He'll get more grace on this list, but I still want to see more results at this point. Alan Rangel's here mostly off of some old evaluations about his projection in the pen, and his proximity to the Majors. Doubt he's a MLB arm in the rotation, but he could be a useful long reliever at the next level. Charles King's spot is mostly unchanged from where it was at last check, more or less because his results in the rotation at Reading don't really matter to me because I see him as a strict RP if he makes it. Nevertheless, he'll keep plugging away in that role for now. Alex Binelas falls a bit from my 2025 mid-season list because, well, you can only do so much continuing to be a good-but-not-great Eastern Leaguer. Ditto goes for José Rodríguez who, at least, is younger and has missed time the past few years. Andrew Walling is another reliever in that Daniel Harper mold with success up through AA with moderate stuff that is gonna need to do it in AAA this year to stay ranked. Truthfully, this ranking feels a TAD gratuitous. Closing us out here is Alex McFarlane who, truthfully, is very hard to rank. He's a guy I faded for a while, but the success later last year in the pen delivered on the claims I've seen from evaluators saying his future may be as a reliever. Still, his floor feels low, even for a guy with AA success. A hot start in 2026 could help boost his rankings firmly into the next tier.

Saturday, April 4, 2026

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - Honerable Mentions

As the 2026 Phillies season gets started, so too do the seasons of the team’s affiliates. Following an interesting past 12 months that have seen several quality prospects traded away, but several more added in the draft, the system looks a lot different, even at the top, where there’s been some noteworthy movement. This year, I’d like to break down my list a little differently. First, let’s start with the subtractions from the list:


3. Mick Abel

5. Eduardo Tait

8. Otto Kemp

10. Hendry Mendez

14. Eiberson Castellano

24. Jaydenn Estanista

26. Avery Owusu-Asiedu

27. Carson Taylor

28. John Spikerman

30. Juan Amarante


Abel, Tait, and Mendez were all dealt to the Twins at the 2025 trade deadline. Abel ended up exceeding rookie limits last year, though Tait and Mendez would still be top 10 prospects on this team were they still in the system. Kemp was the lone member of the mid-season 30 who left the list by graduating. Castellano became a free agent and signed with the Rockies in the offseason, though a rough 2025 season would have dinged him anyway. Avery Owusu-Asiedu would have likely risen in the rankings had he not been dealt to the Diamondbacks for Kyle Backhus in the offseason. Taylor would have again been a fringe-30 candidate this year had he not been a Minor League Rule Five Draft selection by the Mariners. Each of Estanista, Spikerman, and Amarante all fell out of the top 30 but remain in the system. Additionally, Zach McCambley would have made my list had he stuck with the team as a Rule Five selection, but he didn’t, so he isn’t. He would have been somewhere in the 20s on this year’s list.


Next, let’s talk honorable mentions. 5 members of the 2025 draft made my list - 5 names I’ve seen other lists that did not were Gabe Crag, Matthew Ferrara, James Tallon, Brian Walters, and Logan Dawson. These guys don’t have the combo of ceiling, floor, and proximity to the Majors to crack the top 30 right now. Same goes for Juan Parra and Romeli Espinosa, who both have high ceilings, but are even more green than the aforementioned contingent. Kehden Hettiger (who’s probably the first guy out of my top 30) and Alirio Ferrebus have the benefit of being catchers, but neither has a developed enough bat or fielding tool to make me confident right now that either is likely to be an impact player in the Majors. Guys like Dylan Campbell and Bryan Rincon are viewed highly in the organization for their defense, but both haven’t hit much in the pros. Saul Teran, Jack Dallas, and the aforementioned Jaydenn Estanista are fringe-30 guys who could sneak onto or back onto the list, but just sit outside right now. Casey Steward has great stuff, but a disastrous 2025 dinged his prospect hype; similar goes for Brad Pacheco. Zuher Yousuf and Angel Liranzo are interesting low Minors arms, but don’t have the dynamic arsenals to crack this list yet. Guys like Luke Russo and Reese Dutton have held their own in the low-mid Minors, but don’t have carrying skills. Christian McGowan and Griff McGarry still exist, but it feels like either actually having a season to get excited about at this point is wishful thinking. And there’s Felix Reyes, who, truthfully, I just need to see more of to have ranked.


While this collection of prospects likely won’t amount to much, several are MLB-adjacent, which always boosts the likelihood of making the jump. Many of these names are also very young, so they have time to develop. Don’t be shocked if a few of these guys end up cracking the top 30 by mid-season, especially with some graduations from the current top-30 being inevitable.

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

2026 Phillies Impact Prospects - #6-#1

Continuing on with our list of impact prospects for the 2026 Phillies season, we get to the top 6, where we have a lot of expected names, but likely at least one that might surprise you.


#6 Gage Wood


Gage Wood’s placement on this list derives from a few potential uses he could have to the team this year. He’s already solidly within the game’s top 100 prospects by Baseball Prospectus, and well regarded by most other evaluators - something that naturally informs high trade value and suggests depth at SP that can allow for trades out of that pool of players, but some believe he could pitch in the Majors as soon as right now, and if not, very soon. It’s probable his value on each of these fronts will be even higher next year, but he’s still a very valuable piece for the organization’s plans even in 2026.


#5 Jean Cabrera


Jean Cabrera might be the biggest surprise of this list, but for good reason. The advantage he has on Wood is he’s much further ahead of him on the organizational ladder, which is useful for a variety of purposes. While the team seems interested in adding more SP depth, he entered camp with an outside shot at a SP job, but moreso the SP6 job - a job he could very close to Rangel in. Unlike Rangel, however, his ceiling as a SP is much higher, even if he’s unlikely to ever be a top 3 SP in a contending rotation. If he continues his strong work from last year, however, he could end up as the team’s top rotation fill-in in due order, or as a valuable trade chip, especially with how much teams desire MLB-ready SP.


#4 Aidan Miller


Aidan Miller might have the highest ceiling of anyone in the Phillies farm system, and while he’s likely more of a 2027 play at this point, his strong play in 2025 even while battling injury suggests he could be a Major Leaguer - and a very good one - sooner rather than later. I had him pegged as a longshot to make the team out of camp, presumably at 2B, but after his injury issues and Bryson Stott’s stabilizing, he’ll start in AAA - something that was very likely anyway. That said, I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s up very soon, even with the team likely taking it slow with his injury rehab.


#3 Gabriel Rincones Jr.


I did these rankings before Spring Training on purpose so as to not have the results be influenced by small sample size results and be more predictive, so I had Gabriel Rincones Jr. as having the inside track on the last bench spot as a versatile OF reserve to compliment someone like Adolis García in RF in particular, but after his injury in February, his turn to see MLB action will have to wait - enough to where I would have probably had him behind Miller if I did these rankings now, but I’ll keep them as I had prior to the start of ST. A menace to RHP when he’s healthy, Rincones offers several solid skills, even if few are stellar. He’s got good power-speed production and is a capable corner OF, which could make him an important piece for this team at some point this season.


#2 Andrew Painter


It’s tough to know what we’re going to get from Andrew Painter after a rough 2025, but what we do know is he’ll be given a shot. It does say a lot that he was effectively given a SP job to lose in camp, so it seems like there’s a good shot he’ll go the distance with the team this year - something that would suggest one of the biggest prospect impacts on the team, regardless of how well he plays in the action he gets. One thing that should help him is the team’s bullpen depth, which should allow his innings to be managed well - something that could help him be better as the season goes on and hopefully limit how much he wears down.


#1 Justin Crawford


I give the edge to Justin Crawford over Painter because he’s likely to play more than Painter, and he’s coming off of a better 2025 season. Crawford, too, is a guy who should benefit from a managed role - they have the ability to platoon him a bit with Brandon Marsh, and he could be a very effective 9 hole hitter with his speed and contact ability, allowing him to be a weapon on the basepaths ahead of the top of the order. Overall, he may need some time to develop into an effective contributor, but the team will give him time to take his lumps, and I think that could help him improve as the season goes on - something that I think matters a lot more than being more productive in April or May.


This list, of course, isn't exhaustive, even including the honorable mentions, and there will almost certainly be at least one rookie who sees action for the Phillies this year who I have yet to mention. After all, I wouldn't have had Max Lazar on a hypothetical 2024 list, and certainly not someone like Orion Kerkering in 2023, Seranthony Domínguez in 2018, or Luis García in 2013. Especially in the year following a draft where the team picked up a lot of polished college arms, it wouldn't be shocking to see a completely out-of-left-field prospect make an impact for the team this year.

Saturday, February 14, 2026

2026 Phillies Impact Prospects - #7-#12 and Honorable Mentions

The 2026 Phillies season presents as one of transition - while the team clearly intends to contend for a World Series, there looks to be several rookies that will play a large role on the team. With that in mind, now might be a good time to see which prospects could have the biggest impact on how well the 2026 season goes.


Honorable Mentions:


There were a few guys that didn’t make my top 12 that I think are worth talking about. First, guys like Keaton Anthony, Wen Hui Pan, and Yoniel Curet could have an impact this year, but I don’t think any will play much or have a massive impact. Names like Dante Nori, Aroon Escobar, Moisés Chace, Carson DeMartini, Devin Saltiban, Cade Obermueller, Mavis Graves, and Griff Burkholder could be potential trade pieces, but didn’t feel as likely to move, or as likely to have big value in a trade as some of the other guys in the system I felt like highlighting.


#12 Matthew Fisher


Very rarely does a team make a 7th round pick and have that guy in immediate top 10 prospect consideration, but that’s where phenom Matthew Fisher sits. Athletic with upside of multiple plus offerings, Fisher, 20 in March, could be a guy who starts strong in the pros and quickly boosts his trade value, or plays his way deeper into long-term organizational pitching plans. It’s not unheard of after all for mid-round HS hurlers to quickly rise up prospect boards, a la Travis Sykora (2023) and Noah Schultz (2022). Fisher probably doesn’t have the same projection as either of those guys, but he has a shot to pop early.


#11 Alex McFarlane


Drafted in 2022, the Phillies tried to make Alex McFarlane work as a SP until midway through last year, before pulling the plug and moving him to the pen, a location most scouts figured he’d end up in eventually. His numbers out of the bullpen weren’t amazing, but he did make his way to AA and onto the MLB roster. McFarlane isn’t MLB-ready right now, but he makes this list because he has a decent shot to be in AAA midway through this season, and his upside could make him more than just a “show-me” arm down the stretch.


#10 Andrew Walling


It’s a bit difficult to get a gauge on Walling as a prospect. Matt Winkelman has him at 36th on his prospects list this year, and he’s really the only one that has him ranked anywhere, which feels odd. The stuff doesn’t pop as much as McFarlane, but he wins the tiebreaker for 10th because of his closeness to the Majors, plus being a lefthander, which should be useful considering the general lack of LHP depth on the team and in the system, especially after the Matt Strahm trade. It’s hard to really expect more than “third lefty” stuff from Walling, at least right now, but on a team whose 4th lefty options are non-roster guys who may not even be in the system by the start of the season, he’s certainly in position to play a role for the team if needed.


#9 Ramon Marquez


It’s been a bit since the Phillies had a nice pop-up prospect, but Ramon Marquez could be that guy. A bargain-basement signing in the 2025 signing period, the 19 year-old hurler advanced directly to stateside ball before finishing the season at Clearwater. Along the way, he turned heads and was named amongst the best prospects in the FCL. He has an athletic and projectable build and good offerings already, which could see him pop expediently. I have him ahead of Fisher here because of having a year of pro experience on him, and he seems like he might have more projection. Similarly to Fisher, Marquez could quickly build up trade interest, or simply make the Phillies more comfortable trading other hurlers in the system.


#8 Alan Rangel


Alan Rangel’s one of the more slow-moving prospects that I can think of that you could also still argue is a prospect to watch. For the most part, his pro career has been nondescript, though it has taken a few turns in recent years, as he went from Atlanta’s 40-man roster, to the Angels system in free agency (where he still generated some prospect attention), to the Phillies 40-man by the end of that same year. His ceiling isn’t that high, but Rangel is MLB-ready right now, and he showed well as a reliever last year - a role he’s long been suggested as a potential plus in. It wouldn’t be shocking if he pops if given a long look in the role.


#7 Zach McCambley


Zach McCambley leads the way amongst presumptive relievers on this list for the obvious reason of being a Rule 5 pick and needing to stick on the roster to stick in the organization, but his offerings certainly play a role too - enough to have him as a member of the top 30 from most prospect boards. His fastball isn’t great, but effective, and his secondary offerings are very interesting. That all is enough to suggest he can be a low-leverage arm right now, but some evaluators believe he could see higher-leverage innings down the line. All of this is enough to suggest he should be given a spot to lose in ST. The Phillies haven’t carried a Rule 5 player this far into the offseason since Noah Song in 2023 (admittedly a bit of a special case), and prior to that, Tyler Goeddel in 2016, so it stands to reason they like him enough to think he’s got a legitimate shot at making the team.

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

2025 Phillies Mid-Season Top 30 Prospects

I wanted to make sure I got my pre-season prospects list for the Phillies out so I could at least reasonably get my mid-season list out in due order. This list has a few changes, specifically near the bottom, but there are some big climbers as well. This list is retroactive to the All-Star Break, and doesn't include new draftees seeing as the results of draft signings weren't finalized by the end of the break. I will have a separate section on these guys, as they're hard ranks at this stage anyway.
  1. Andrew Painter
  2. Aidan Miller
  3. Mick Abel
  4. Justin Crawford
  5. Eduardo Tait
  6. Aroon Escobar
  7. Carson DeMartini
  8. Otto Kemp
  9. Keaton Anthony
  10. Hendry Mendez
  11. Gabriel Rincones Jr.
  12. Jean Cabrera
  13. Wen Hui Pan
  14. Eiberson Castellano
  15. Moisés Chace
  16. Dante Nori
  17. Devin Saltiban
  18. Alex Binelas
  19. Raylin Heredia
  20. Mavis Graves
  21. Griff Burkholder
  22. Daniel Harper
  23. José Rodríguez
  24. Jaydenn Estanista
  25. Charles King
  26. Avery Owusu-Asiedu
  27. Carson Taylor
  28. John Spikerman
  29. Tristan Garnett
  30. Juan Amarante

No shock at the top here. Andrew Painter and Aidan Miller have both started rough on the season, but they're still the two guys I feel the best about being stars in the Majors down the line. I leaned Mick Abel over Justin Crawford at 3, but both are guys I also feel good about, just as less likely to reach the heights as Painter and Miller. Eduardo Tait, like Painter and Miller has had a meh season, but he's still quite young and still very skilled. Aroon Escobar and Carson DeMartini were guys who I needed to see more from coming into this season, and so far, they've delivered, but some higher success would move both up even more. Otto Kemp and Keaton Anthony have taken different tracks to get there, but both are former UDFAs bordering on MLB breakouts. Hendry Mendez jumps ahead of Gabriel Rincones Jr., but both are toolsy OF prospects closing in on the Majors. Jean Cabrera is a guy who I'm still a tad skeptical of the ceiling of, but his floor continues to rise. Tough seasons for Wen Hui Pan, Eiberson Castellano, and Moisés Chace from a health perspective have dimmed their prospects, but each possess impressive stuff that could eventually help the bullpen. Dante Nori and Devin Saltiban, too have slipped off of unimpressive seasons, but both are still terribly toolsy.

Things get a bit more murky at this point. Alex Binelas occupies the Keaton Anthony spot from the start of the season's list as an interesting boom-or-bust tweener type that could pop with some refinement of his game. Raylin Heredia is a bit of a divisive prospect, but if he can stay healthy, he has the upside to be a good CF. Mavis Graves and Griff Burkholder have both had miserable seasons, but they still have to be in this tier due to their upside.

At this point, there's a lot of "meh" and "who knows" for me. Daniel Harper leads this tier as perhaps the best near-term true RP prospect for the team. Jaydenn Estanista's always been a fascination of mine, and he's pitched well until a recent roadbump at Reading. Charles King's numbers as a starter are meh, though he's done better recently. I do believe the stuff is very intriguing as a RP though. Avery Owusu-Asiedu's been one of the bigger surprises in the system this season. He has a skillset that lends to a utility role. Winning the battle royale for the final spot is Juan Amarante, who beats out a group mostly of RP types. Amarante likely ends up there as well, but has started as well. However, look for a guy like Ramon Marquez to perhaps sneak into this spot eventually. He's a popular sleeper type at the very bottom of the system.

Amongst draftees, there are more than a few that can fit into these rankings, even if their current spots are kinda TBD for me. Amongst the draftees, 5 would probably make my list: Gage Wood, Cade Obermueller, Matthew Fisher, Sean Youngerman, and Cody Bowker, with Gabe Craig being one of the first guys out.

Thursday, July 17, 2025

2025 Phillies Top 30 Prospects

I've been sitting on my Top 30 Phillies Prospects list for this year for a bit, but I'm working on getting my mid-season one done, so I have to get this out now if I want it out. Here's the list:Andrew Painter

  1. Andrew Painter
  2. Aidan Miller
  3. Justin Crawford
  4. Eduardo Tait
  5. Seth Johnson
  6. Gabriel Rincones Jr.
  7. Moisés Chace
  8. Wen Hui Pan
  9. Eiberson Castellano
  10. Jean Cabrera
  11. Otto Kemp
  12. Mavis Graves
  13. Mick Abel
  14. Dante Nori
  15. Devin Saltiban
  16. Griff Burkholder
  17. Keaton Anthony
  18. Andrew Walling
  19. Casey Steward
  20. Daniel Harper
  21. Matt Kroon
  22. Max Lazar
  23. José Rodríguez
  24. Michael Mercado
  25. Estibenzon Jimenez
  26. Tommy McCollum
  27. Tristan Garnett
  28. Christian McGowan
  29. Aroon Escobar
  30. Rafael Lantigua

As has usually been the case, I generally lean towards more MLB ready players and higher floor players, even if that's something I've moved away from some. The top 16 were fairly obvious, and itw as a bit more confusing from there. The top 4 were far from surprising, but I did have Seth Johnson at 5, because my belief was his floor as a good RP was quite high, though the results so far this year suggest that may not have been true. Gabriel Rincones Jr. is an intriguing all-around prospect, and, Moisés Chace, Wen Hui Pan, Eiberson Castellano, all have big-league stuff that should see them up eventually. Jean Cabrera was a little lower because he's always been more a floor guy than ceiling. Otto Kemp was a hard rank at the beginning of the year, but his production last year was enough to get him in the middle of this tier. Mavis Graves landed in above Mick Abel, whose slide ended here after an awful 2024. Graves is more a floor guy as well, but there's reason to believe he could elevate that, while Abel's so far made some of the changes that should see him higher on the list in the next version. Dante Nori, Devin Saltiban, Griff Burkholder all sat in the next group, and I gave Nori the edge because of his floor in the OF.

The next group is a fall-off from the first one, and very fungible. Keaton Anthony is the most ineteresting, and would slot in higher were he not of an odd archetype as a contact-first 1B. Casey Steward is an interesting name I clocked in Spring Training (I tend to try not to take too much out of ST, granted, but his stuff was electric) who seems like he could be a great RP or maybe even a SP. Max Lazar was a guy I quite liked last year, but his struggles late had me wondering if he could really be anything more than a fungible RP. The rest of the 30 is composed generally of pitchers who I sit a little higher on that most, and of course Aroon Escobar, who was low on my list simply because I needed to see more (and I have indeed seen more so far).

Thursday, July 11, 2024

2024 Phillies Pre-Season Prospect Rankings - Rookie Levels

I neglected to finish my Phillies pre-season prospect lists, so here are my lists for the rookie levels and of unassigned players:

FCL:

  1. Devin Saltiban
  2. TJayy Walton
  3. Junior Marin
  4. Mavis Graves
  5. Avery Owusu-Asiedu
  6. Kehden Hettiger
  7. Pierce Bennett
  8. Enruque Segura
  9. Yemal Flores
  10. Micah Ottenbreit


DSL:

  1. Eduardo Tait
  2. Starlyn Caba
  3. Maxwel Hernandez
  4. Angel Liranzo
  5. Jaeden Calderon


Unassigned:

  1. George Klassen
  2. Luke Russo
  3. Lachlan Wells
  4. Jalvin Arias
  5. Jake Eddington
  6. Ethan Chenault
  7. Charles King
  8. Marty Gair

The top names on each list here stand out. Devin Saltiban was the Phillies 2nd pick last year and has serious physical tools that saw him draw comparisons to Hawai'i baseball and Phillies legend Shane Victorino. Eduardo Tait had a monster season in the DSL and doesn't turn 18 until August of 2024. He's already well-rounded as both a hitter and catcher. Additionally, Starlyn Caba, who actually outranks Tait on most lists, is a two-way threat as well, playing as an infielder. George Klassen is a project hurler who struggles with walks, but has some of the best stuff out there when he's on.

Tuesday, June 25, 2024

2024 MLB Sleeper Prospects - AL West

Here's a list of some of the prospects I have been looking at from the AL West.

 

Los Angeles Angels - Tyler Thomas

Tyler Thomas, 28, is a former prospect of note who joins the Angels via the David Fletcher swap after Atlanta picked him in the MiLB portion of the Rule Five Draft. An independent ball pickup by the Mets last season, Thomas was dominant at AA, posting a 0.706 WHIP. 


Houston Astros - Jacob DeLabio

Jacob DeLabio, a former undrafted free agent, posted a 1.15 ERA last season. His walk rate remains high, but he's limited damage quite well as a pro so far.


Oakland Athletics - Armando Alvarez

Armando Alvarez, 30 in July, has played a lot of pro ball. He's a former 17th rounder by the Yankees that spent last year mostly at AAA Sacramento. It was his 3rd season at the level at an advanced age, granted, but he hit an eye-popping .313/.383/.569 at the level. Alvarez just got his first MLB look, and Oakland can use to see if they have a late-blooming gem in him down the stretch.


Seattle Mariners - Isiah Gilliam/Cody Bolton

A pair of post-hype prospects, Gilliam and Bolton are different types of picks here. The former isn't on the 40, but could push his way onto it with continued power production. The latter is a potential multi-inning weapon for the contending Mariners.


Texas Rangers - Reid Birlingmair

Reid Birlingmair, a former Athletics prospect, is a product of what might be the Mid-West's premier baseball side, the Fargo-Moorhead Redhawks. A strong run at the end of last year between A+ and AA should put Birlingmair, 27, on the radar for a MLB look this year.

Friday, June 7, 2024

2024 MLB Sleeper Prospects - NL Central

Here's my sleeper prospect selections for the NL Central.


Milwaukee Brewers - Shane Smith

I think the Brewers have many sneaky-good prospects in their system, but Shane Smith, a former undrafted free agent out of Wake Forest, really stands out. The Brewers, especially dealing with injuries, could use Smith in the near future. He finished with a WHIP under 1 last year and a 13.0 K/9, and a 1.27 ERA between the A+ and AA levels.

 

St. Louis Cardinals - Jacob Bosiokovic

The Craidnals brought in a bunch of indy ballers this offseason, one being a returning name in Jacob Bosiokovic, 30. He pitched for Memphis in 2022, and is a converted infielder. The Cardinals have already brought up a few relievers this season for looks - Bosiokovic could get the next one.


Chicago Cubs - Zac Leigh

Zac Leigh, a late rounder out of Texas State, is another pitcher that gets a lot of strike outs. Truthfully, I didn't look at any Cubs players until now, so this isn't a proper pick.


Pittsburgh Pirates - Ryder Ryan

Ryder Ryan's a journeyman RP who debuted briefly for Seattle last season. I caught onto him at the 2021 Olympics, and his strong AAA track record makes me think he can translate his success to the Majors.

 

Cincinnati Reds - Peyton Gray/Blake Dunn

Okay, I'm cheating a bit two of my Reds shortlist have already made the Majors, so it's probably skewing my choices here (though I try my best when I make these picks late to avoid that). So here's my compromise. Peyton Gray ended up starting the season on the 60-day IL, but wasn't placed on it immediately, so I'm going with Blake Dunn, a power speed threat with 53 Sb and 23 HR last season between AA and AAA. It's, needless to say, no shock to me to see him up already.

Sunday, June 2, 2024

2024 MLB Sleeper Prospects - AL East

I'm continuing my sleeper prospect series with the AL East today.

Blue Jays - Hagen Danner

A legitimate two-way prospect coming out of high school, Hagen Danner didn't pan out as a catcher, but started moving rapidly though the system as a reliever. He posted a 12.8 K/9 across three Minors levels, with most of that production coming at AAA. Injuries have been a concern, but he's got a MLB calibre arsenal and could see action for the Blue Jays this season.

Baltimore Orioles - Keagan Gillies

The Orioles system is deep in position players and is now developing a good starter group, but overlooked in the system are the relievers. Keagan Gillies is a name worth watching. He posted a minuscule WHIP just over .8 last season between the A+ and AA levels with a 13.5 K/9 mark as well. With some pitching staff injuries plaguing the O's, Gillies is a guy who could play a role for them this season.

Tampa Bay Rays - Logan Driscoll

The Rays have a seriously woeful catching situation that already caused them to make one move this season, sending down projected starter René Pinto for Alex Jackson. Late-March pickup Ben Rortvedt has emerged as a surprising starter, but there's no guarantee he lasts with the club. Now more than ever, with Blake Hunt out of the system, expect another former Padres 2nd rounder to fill the void as Tampa's next man up - Logan Driscoll. Driscoll had a strong offensive season between the AA and AAA levels last season after a tough 2022, and overall has a good track record of production in the Minors. I'd bet he sees time with the Rays this season.

Boston Red Sox - Jamie Westbrook

I rushed this post today because I wanted to make sure it didn't look like hindsight bias when I posted my Red Sox pick, the journeyman Jamie Westbrook, 28. I've obviously been pounding the drum for this guy for some time, but it doesn't come as a shock to me that the Sox, with serious infield uncertainty, were the team to need him. If his production can translate, I could see him being an excellent super-utility guy for the team at the very worst.

New York Yankees - Jack Neely

The Yankees are off to a great start this season, but that doesn't mean they might not need reinforcements at some point this season. I could see Jack Neely being one of them. Neely has an arsenal that saw him post a 13.6 K/9 last season between the A+ and AA levels, while finishing with a WHIP under .9. That's a fantastic combination that could see him on a Major League mound in due order.

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

2024 Phillies Prospect Rankings AA and A Levels

Next in the preseason prospect rankings we have the AA and A ball levels.
 
Andrew Painter+
Carlos De La Cruz
Ethan Wilson
Marcus Lee Sang
Tommy McCollum
Jordi Martinez
Cristian Hernandez
Konnor Ash
Max Lazar
Matt Osterberg
Triston Garnett
Casey Martin
Baron Radcliff
 
Andrew Painter and Carlos De La Cruz are the obvious #1 and #2 names on this list, but the next few are
interesting. Ethan Wilson had a miniature breakout in 2023 with Reading, while the young Marcus Lee Sang hit
a bit of a speed bump at the level after a strong start at Jersey Shore. Tommy McCollum had impressive 2023
seasons and have the stuff to see time in the Majors this season. Max Lazar was one of the names I was interested
in in Minor League free agency this offseason as a change-of-pace arm with starting experience.
 
Justin Crawford
Wen Hui Pan
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
Wesley Moore
Jack Dallas
Mitch Neunborn
Bryan Rincon
Kendall Simmons
Erubiel Armenta
Andrew Walling
Carlos Betancourt
Cade Fergus
Caleb Ricketts
Hendry Mendez
Robert Moore
Samuel Aldegheri
Jonh Henriquez
 
An interesting A+ list has a lot of interesting new names. Justin Crawford is an obvious #1 and Wen Hui Pan 
and Gabriel Rincones Jr. in the next two spots make sense as well. Wesley Moore is an interesting undrafted
hurler that is very deceptive, and early returns this season continue to show he can be a fast riser. Mitch
Neunborn, who turns 27 this year is an unconventional prospect who made his affiliated debut at A+ last year.
He's one of the more underrated names to watch in the system. A bunch more interesting names, particularly arms,
litter this list.
 
Aidan Miller
William Bergolla Jr.
Emaarion Boyd
Raylin Heredia
Nikau Pouaka-Grego+
Estibenzon Jimenez
Danny Wilkinson
Jordan Dissin
Zach Arnold
Brandon Beckel
Jaydenn Estanista
Jean Cabrera
Alex Rao
Eiberson Castellano
Alex McFarlane

A dominant Clearwater team naturally produces a good list, even with several names having made A+ or higher
later on in the 2023 Minors slate. 2023 1st rounder Aidan Miller looks every part of a future star, while youthful
and projectable names in Bergolla Jr, Boyd, and Heredia are worth following. Villanova alumnus Danny
Wilkinson dominated with 16.8 K/9, while Pottstown native Jordan Dissin held his own in his first full season in
the pros.

2026 Phillies Mid-Season Top-31 Prospects - Middleground

This next group of prospects is a big mix of guys who are coming and going for one reason or another. They're guys I felt like were lock...