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Showing posts with label Justin Crawford. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Justin Crawford. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - The Top

I will be putting out my midseason Phillies prospect list soon, but I forgot to post my top 8 for the start of the season previously. They were as follows:

1. Aidan Miller
2. Andrew Painter
3. Dante Nori
4. Justin Crawford
5. Keaton Anthony
6. Gabriel Rincones Jr.
7. Aroon Escobar
8. Jean Cabrera

This list has aged less than ideally to say the least. I had Jean Cabrera fairly high up due to a strong season in the unfriendly environs of Reading due a high floor - unfortunately that hasn't borne out. Aroon Escobar has played with a well-rounded approach at levels advanced for his age, but his experience above the Low-A level has shown for sure. He remains a longer-term project. Gabriel Rincones Jr. and Keaton Anthony were guys I had as contenders for the OD roster before injuries. The former hasn't had crazy numbers at AAA, but still has a lot of solid skills that should make him an effective MLB player, and the latter's torrid pace last year should still have him in the Majors in short order, even while blocked at 1B. Justin Crawford and Dante Nori came in close for me, but I leaned towards the latter's more balanced ceiling over the polish and contact-oriented approach of Crawford. Hard to tell if either have All-Star ceilings, but their floors are pretty high. Andrew Painter had a tough last year and it's continued into this year, but I still believe now as I did at the start of the year that his talent is worth holding onto. Finally, Aidan Miller takes the top spot after a season where he really showed all the tools, hitting for power and contact, stealing bases, and improving drastically at SS. Even with his injury concerns, I still believe he's a future star in this lineup.

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

2026 Phillies Impact Prospects - #6-#1

Continuing on with our list of impact prospects for the 2026 Phillies season, we get to the top 6, where we have a lot of expected names, but likely at least one that might surprise you.


#6 Gage Wood


Gage Wood’s placement on this list derives from a few potential uses he could have to the team this year. He’s already solidly within the game’s top 100 prospects by Baseball Prospectus, and well regarded by most other evaluators - something that naturally informs high trade value and suggests depth at SP that can allow for trades out of that pool of players, but some believe he could pitch in the Majors as soon as right now, and if not, very soon. It’s probable his value on each of these fronts will be even higher next year, but he’s still a very valuable piece for the organization’s plans even in 2026.


#5 Jean Cabrera


Jean Cabrera might be the biggest surprise of this list, but for good reason. The advantage he has on Wood is he’s much further ahead of him on the organizational ladder, which is useful for a variety of purposes. While the team seems interested in adding more SP depth, he entered camp with an outside shot at a SP job, but moreso the SP6 job - a job he could very close to Rangel in. Unlike Rangel, however, his ceiling as a SP is much higher, even if he’s unlikely to ever be a top 3 SP in a contending rotation. If he continues his strong work from last year, however, he could end up as the team’s top rotation fill-in in due order, or as a valuable trade chip, especially with how much teams desire MLB-ready SP.


#4 Aidan Miller


Aidan Miller might have the highest ceiling of anyone in the Phillies farm system, and while he’s likely more of a 2027 play at this point, his strong play in 2025 even while battling injury suggests he could be a Major Leaguer - and a very good one - sooner rather than later. I had him pegged as a longshot to make the team out of camp, presumably at 2B, but after his injury issues and Bryson Stott’s stabilizing, he’ll start in AAA - something that was very likely anyway. That said, I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s up very soon, even with the team likely taking it slow with his injury rehab.


#3 Gabriel Rincones Jr.


I did these rankings before Spring Training on purpose so as to not have the results be influenced by small sample size results and be more predictive, so I had Gabriel Rincones Jr. as having the inside track on the last bench spot as a versatile OF reserve to compliment someone like Adolis García in RF in particular, but after his injury in February, his turn to see MLB action will have to wait - enough to where I would have probably had him behind Miller if I did these rankings now, but I’ll keep them as I had prior to the start of ST. A menace to RHP when he’s healthy, Rincones offers several solid skills, even if few are stellar. He’s got good power-speed production and is a capable corner OF, which could make him an important piece for this team at some point this season.


#2 Andrew Painter


It’s tough to know what we’re going to get from Andrew Painter after a rough 2025, but what we do know is he’ll be given a shot. It does say a lot that he was effectively given a SP job to lose in camp, so it seems like there’s a good shot he’ll go the distance with the team this year - something that would suggest one of the biggest prospect impacts on the team, regardless of how well he plays in the action he gets. One thing that should help him is the team’s bullpen depth, which should allow his innings to be managed well - something that could help him be better as the season goes on and hopefully limit how much he wears down.


#1 Justin Crawford


I give the edge to Justin Crawford over Painter because he’s likely to play more than Painter, and he’s coming off of a better 2025 season. Crawford, too, is a guy who should benefit from a managed role - they have the ability to platoon him a bit with Brandon Marsh, and he could be a very effective 9 hole hitter with his speed and contact ability, allowing him to be a weapon on the basepaths ahead of the top of the order. Overall, he may need some time to develop into an effective contributor, but the team will give him time to take his lumps, and I think that could help him improve as the season goes on - something that I think matters a lot more than being more productive in April or May.


This list, of course, isn't exhaustive, even including the honorable mentions, and there will almost certainly be at least one rookie who sees action for the Phillies this year who I have yet to mention. After all, I wouldn't have had Max Lazar on a hypothetical 2024 list, and certainly not someone like Orion Kerkering in 2023, Seranthony Domínguez in 2018, or Luis García in 2013. Especially in the year following a draft where the team picked up a lot of polished college arms, it wouldn't be shocking to see a completely out-of-left-field prospect make an impact for the team this year.

Thursday, July 17, 2025

2025 Phillies Top 30 Prospects

I've been sitting on my Top 30 Phillies Prospects list for this year for a bit, but I'm working on getting my mid-season one done, so I have to get this out now if I want it out. Here's the list:Andrew Painter

  1. Andrew Painter
  2. Aidan Miller
  3. Justin Crawford
  4. Eduardo Tait
  5. Seth Johnson
  6. Gabriel Rincones Jr.
  7. Moisés Chace
  8. Wen Hui Pan
  9. Eiberson Castellano
  10. Jean Cabrera
  11. Otto Kemp
  12. Mavis Graves
  13. Mick Abel
  14. Dante Nori
  15. Devin Saltiban
  16. Griff Burkholder
  17. Keaton Anthony
  18. Andrew Walling
  19. Casey Steward
  20. Daniel Harper
  21. Matt Kroon
  22. Max Lazar
  23. José Rodríguez
  24. Michael Mercado
  25. Estibenzon Jimenez
  26. Tommy McCollum
  27. Tristan Garnett
  28. Christian McGowan
  29. Aroon Escobar
  30. Rafael Lantigua

As has usually been the case, I generally lean towards more MLB ready players and higher floor players, even if that's something I've moved away from some. The top 16 were fairly obvious, and itw as a bit more confusing from there. The top 4 were far from surprising, but I did have Seth Johnson at 5, because my belief was his floor as a good RP was quite high, though the results so far this year suggest that may not have been true. Gabriel Rincones Jr. is an intriguing all-around prospect, and, Moisés Chace, Wen Hui Pan, Eiberson Castellano, all have big-league stuff that should see them up eventually. Jean Cabrera was a little lower because he's always been more a floor guy than ceiling. Otto Kemp was a hard rank at the beginning of the year, but his production last year was enough to get him in the middle of this tier. Mavis Graves landed in above Mick Abel, whose slide ended here after an awful 2024. Graves is more a floor guy as well, but there's reason to believe he could elevate that, while Abel's so far made some of the changes that should see him higher on the list in the next version. Dante Nori, Devin Saltiban, Griff Burkholder all sat in the next group, and I gave Nori the edge because of his floor in the OF.

The next group is a fall-off from the first one, and very fungible. Keaton Anthony is the most ineteresting, and would slot in higher were he not of an odd archetype as a contact-first 1B. Casey Steward is an interesting name I clocked in Spring Training (I tend to try not to take too much out of ST, granted, but his stuff was electric) who seems like he could be a great RP or maybe even a SP. Max Lazar was a guy I quite liked last year, but his struggles late had me wondering if he could really be anything more than a fungible RP. The rest of the 30 is composed generally of pitchers who I sit a little higher on that most, and of course Aroon Escobar, who was low on my list simply because I needed to see more (and I have indeed seen more so far).

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

2024 Phillies Prospect Rankings AA and A Levels

Next in the preseason prospect rankings we have the AA and A ball levels.
 
Andrew Painter+
Carlos De La Cruz
Ethan Wilson
Marcus Lee Sang
Tommy McCollum
Jordi Martinez
Cristian Hernandez
Konnor Ash
Max Lazar
Matt Osterberg
Triston Garnett
Casey Martin
Baron Radcliff
 
Andrew Painter and Carlos De La Cruz are the obvious #1 and #2 names on this list, but the next few are
interesting. Ethan Wilson had a miniature breakout in 2023 with Reading, while the young Marcus Lee Sang hit
a bit of a speed bump at the level after a strong start at Jersey Shore. Tommy McCollum had impressive 2023
seasons and have the stuff to see time in the Majors this season. Max Lazar was one of the names I was interested
in in Minor League free agency this offseason as a change-of-pace arm with starting experience.
 
Justin Crawford
Wen Hui Pan
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
Wesley Moore
Jack Dallas
Mitch Neunborn
Bryan Rincon
Kendall Simmons
Erubiel Armenta
Andrew Walling
Carlos Betancourt
Cade Fergus
Caleb Ricketts
Hendry Mendez
Robert Moore
Samuel Aldegheri
Jonh Henriquez
 
An interesting A+ list has a lot of interesting new names. Justin Crawford is an obvious #1 and Wen Hui Pan 
and Gabriel Rincones Jr. in the next two spots make sense as well. Wesley Moore is an interesting undrafted
hurler that is very deceptive, and early returns this season continue to show he can be a fast riser. Mitch
Neunborn, who turns 27 this year is an unconventional prospect who made his affiliated debut at A+ last year.
He's one of the more underrated names to watch in the system. A bunch more interesting names, particularly arms,
litter this list.
 
Aidan Miller
William Bergolla Jr.
Emaarion Boyd
Raylin Heredia
Nikau Pouaka-Grego+
Estibenzon Jimenez
Danny Wilkinson
Jordan Dissin
Zach Arnold
Brandon Beckel
Jaydenn Estanista
Jean Cabrera
Alex Rao
Eiberson Castellano
Alex McFarlane

A dominant Clearwater team naturally produces a good list, even with several names having made A+ or higher
later on in the 2023 Minors slate. 2023 1st rounder Aidan Miller looks every part of a future star, while youthful
and projectable names in Bergolla Jr, Boyd, and Heredia are worth following. Villanova alumnus Danny
Wilkinson dominated with 16.8 K/9, while Pottstown native Jordan Dissin held his own in his first full season in
the pros.

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

2023 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - A Levels

I've been lazy and not posted most of my mid-season prospect rankings for the Phillies, so here are the rankings for Low-A and High-A, respectively:

Justin Crawford
Wen-Hui Pan
William Bergolla Jr.^^
Noah Song
Emaarion Boyd
Jordan Dissin^
Samuel Aldegheri^
Alex McFarlane
Estibenzon Jimenez
Nikau Pouaka-Grego+
Eiberson Castellano
Jaydenn Estanista^
Jonh Henriquez
Alex Rao

Gabriel Rincones Jr.^^
Christian McGowan+
Marcus Lee Sang
Hao-Yu Lee
Mitch Nuenborn#
Wesley Moore^^
Tommy McCollum^
Jack Dallas^
Caleb Ricketts^

Obviously some of these players have moved around or are no longer in the system now.

Friday, March 24, 2023

2023 Phillies Prospect Rankings - Low-A

Boy, can it be hard to rank Low Minors prospects without a real scout's perspective! I learned this the hard way with my prospect rankings for the guys who topped out with the Low-A Clearwater Threshers (57-71) last season. Going through the names eligible for the Low-A list, I found 37 (!) guys worth ranking alone. As things stand, this list wraps around from the 3rd to the 4th page of my Google Docs file, the split occurring after entery 12, which actually felt like a good cut off point. Here are those names:

Justin Crawford$
Emaarion Boyd$
Estibenzon Jimenez^
Eiberson Castellano
Alex Rao$
Jared Wetherbee
Caleb Ricketts$
Alexeis Azuaje
Jordan Viars^
Alex McFarlane$
Tommy McCollum
Micah Ottenbreit

Crawford and Boyd were 2022 draftees out of high school. Crawford is an exciting prospect and the son of Carl Crawford (making him the second Phillies 1st rounder from the Crawford Family after J.P.!), while Boyd is a speedster who started his pro career on a heater (.361 AVG last season in 11 games). Jimenez and Castellano are a pair of guys signed out of Venezuela at a little older than the typical age who excelled last season in their stateside debuts (Jimenez was a little better, but Castellano jumped directly from the DSL to Clearwater). Rao, Wetherbee, and McCollum are a trio of relievers who have charted high strikeout rates, while McFarlane may end up in the bullpen in the future as well. Ricketts looks the part of a catcher with the all-around ability to be a strong Major Leaguer. Finally, Viars and Ottenbreit were 2021 draftees who dealt with injuries last season. Viars could be a breakout prospect this season, while Ottenbreit will hopefully return at some point this season after undergoing Tommy John Surgery.

2026 Phillies Mid-Season Top-31 Prospects - Middleground

This next group of prospects is a big mix of guys who are coming and going for one reason or another. They're guys I felt like were lock...