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Showing posts with label Christian McGowan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Christian McGowan. Show all posts

Saturday, April 4, 2026

2026 Phillies Preseason Top 30 Prospects - Honerable Mentions

As the 2026 Phillies season gets started, so too do the seasons of the team’s affiliates. Following an interesting past 12 months that have seen several quality prospects traded away, but several more added in the draft, the system looks a lot different, even at the top, where there’s been some noteworthy movement. This year, I’d like to break down my list a little differently. First, let’s start with the subtractions from the list:


3. Mick Abel

5. Eduardo Tait

8. Otto Kemp

10. Hendry Mendez

14. Eiberson Castellano

24. Jaydenn Estanista

26. Avery Owusu-Asiedu

27. Carson Taylor

28. John Spikerman

30. Juan Amarante


Abel, Tait, and Mendez were all dealt to the Twins at the 2025 trade deadline. Abel ended up exceeding rookie limits last year, though Tait and Mendez would still be top 10 prospects on this team were they still in the system. Kemp was the lone member of the mid-season 30 who left the list by graduating. Castellano became a free agent and signed with the Rockies in the offseason, though a rough 2025 season would have dinged him anyway. Avery Owusu-Asiedu would have likely risen in the rankings had he not been dealt to the Diamondbacks for Kyle Backhus in the offseason. Taylor would have again been a fringe-30 candidate this year had he not been a Minor League Rule Five Draft selection by the Mariners. Each of Estanista, Spikerman, and Amarante all fell out of the top 30 but remain in the system. Additionally, Zach McCambley would have made my list had he stuck with the team as a Rule Five selection, but he didn’t, so he isn’t. He would have been somewhere in the 20s on this year’s list.


Next, let’s talk honorable mentions. 5 members of the 2025 draft made my list - 5 names I’ve seen other lists that did not were Gabe Crag, Matthew Ferrara, James Tallon, Brian Walters, and Logan Dawson. These guys don’t have the combo of ceiling, floor, and proximity to the Majors to crack the top 30 right now. Same goes for Juan Parra and Romeli Espinosa, who both have high ceilings, but are even more green than the aforementioned contingent. Kehden Hettiger (who’s probably the first guy out of my top 30) and Alirio Ferrebus have the benefit of being catchers, but neither has a developed enough bat or fielding tool to make me confident right now that either is likely to be an impact player in the Majors. Guys like Dylan Campbell and Bryan Rincon are viewed highly in the organization for their defense, but both haven’t hit much in the pros. Saul Teran, Jack Dallas, and the aforementioned Jaydenn Estanista are fringe-30 guys who could sneak onto or back onto the list, but just sit outside right now. Casey Steward has great stuff, but a disastrous 2025 dinged his prospect hype; similar goes for Brad Pacheco. Zuher Yousuf and Angel Liranzo are interesting low Minors arms, but don’t have the dynamic arsenals to crack this list yet. Guys like Luke Russo and Reese Dutton have held their own in the low-mid Minors, but don’t have carrying skills. Christian McGowan and Griff McGarry still exist, but it feels like either actually having a season to get excited about at this point is wishful thinking. And there’s Felix Reyes, who, truthfully, I just need to see more of to have ranked.


While this collection of prospects likely won’t amount to much, several are MLB-adjacent, which always boosts the likelihood of making the jump. Many of these names are also very young, so they have time to develop. Don’t be shocked if a few of these guys end up cracking the top 30 by mid-season, especially with some graduations from the current top-30 being inevitable.

Saturday, March 30, 2024

2024 Phillies Prospect Rankings - AAA and MLB

We're back at it again with raking the Phillies prospects, starting with the top 2 levels this year. The Phillies have only 3 prospects with MLB action from last year:

Orion Kerkering
Wes Wilson
Cal Stevenson

Orion Kerkering and Wes Wilson should both have an impact on the MLB roster this season, particularly the precocious Kerkering. Cal Stevenson was a waiver claim last year that stuck around at AAA from the end of last year. He could perhaps see action with a hot start at AAA, which he's done as recently as 2022.

At the AAA level, there are many new names joining guys with past experience in the system, continuing to show the changing environment of the system.

Mick Abel
Christian McGowan
Simón Muzziotti
Matt Kroon
Brett Schulze
Griff McGarry
Nicklaus Snyder
Michael Mercado
Zac Houston
Tyler McKay
Taylor Lehman
Nick Podkul

Mick Abel is naturally the #1 here, and may already have the inside track on being the next man up in the rotation for the Phillies after a strong Spring. Should his control continue to be improved, he could be an impact player for the Phillies this season. Christian McGowan is one of the sneakier names that could have a big impact on the team this year after a strong run last season coming back from Tommy John Surgery. Matt Kroon could be the 2024 version of 2022 Dalton Guthrie and 2023 Wes Wilson following another strong season in the high Minors. He can move around and could end up being a useful bench piece down the stretch. Schulze, Snyder, Mercado, and Houston are lottery ticket high-leverage arms that could use some tweaks, and could be risers in the system this year. Griff McGarry is a wildcard after changing his mechanics in the offseason. Finally, keep an eye on Nick Podkul, who had a breakout in an abridged 2023.

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

2023 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - A Levels

I've been lazy and not posted most of my mid-season prospect rankings for the Phillies, so here are the rankings for Low-A and High-A, respectively:

Justin Crawford
Wen-Hui Pan
William Bergolla Jr.^^
Noah Song
Emaarion Boyd
Jordan Dissin^
Samuel Aldegheri^
Alex McFarlane
Estibenzon Jimenez
Nikau Pouaka-Grego+
Eiberson Castellano
Jaydenn Estanista^
Jonh Henriquez
Alex Rao

Gabriel Rincones Jr.^^
Christian McGowan+
Marcus Lee Sang
Hao-Yu Lee
Mitch Nuenborn#
Wesley Moore^^
Tommy McCollum^
Jack Dallas^
Caleb Ricketts^

Obviously some of these players have moved around or are no longer in the system now.

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

2023 Phillies Prospect Rankings - High-A

While the club went only 51-81 last season, the Clearwater Threshers saw a lot of talent appear in their lineups and rotation last season. Which players who topped out there, however, have the most promise? Let's break it down.

Hao Yu Lee^
Christian McGowan
Tristan Garnett^
Erubiel Armenta
Victor Vargas
Cristian Hernandez
Rixon Wingrove
Marcus Lee Sang^
Sam Jacobsak
Jordan Fowler^
Nick Ward#
Andrick Nava
Baron Radcliff
Jordi Martinez
Rodolfo Sanchez^

The projectable Lee of course ranks first year after a tantalizing first full professional season. Could another year of growth and better health see Lee rise to prospect stardom in 2023? McGowan is still woaking his way back from Tommy John Surgery, but his tantalizing upside preserves his rank here. Garnett is a finesse guy who may face a tougher test this upcoming season, whereas Armenta, Vargas, and Hernandez have better stuff. Keep an eye on particular on the last of that group, whose stuff may play up as a reliever (as evinced in the AFL). Power hitters Wingrove, Ward, and Radcliff are power-first prospects who took great strides last season. Finally, keep an eye on Lee Sang, a 2019 11th rounder with CF experience who just turned 22 as a project guy who could open eyes this season.

Thursday, July 21, 2022

2022 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - A+

Hitting struggles have persisted all year for the A+ Jersey Shore Blue Claws, who sit at just 31-55 at the All-Star Break, but the club has been boosted by strong pitching production out of a core made up mostly of former high school draftees. Here are the club's top fifteen prospects:

Andrew Painter
Mick Abel
Kyle Glogoski
Christian McGowan
Ben Brown
Ethan Wilson
Erubiel Armenta
Andrick Nava
Victor Vargas
Rixon Wingrove
Carlos De La Cruz
Cristian Hernandez
Luis Garcia
Rafael Marcano
Albertus Barber

Painter of course of the biggest name on this list as the consensus top prospect in the system having just turned 19 and already dominating at the A+ level. Abel at #2 is no surprise, but Glogoski takes the wide open #3 spot having shown well in his return from an injury-crossed 2021 season. Brown is having a breakout season, and could see his stock rise even more if he can translate his A+ success into AA success. Armenta slides a bit thanks to less impressive production in his second go at the A+ level. Nava looked poised for a breakout season in his first year above the rookie level, but he was sent down to Clearwater after his hot stretch ran out. Two names increasing their stock this season have been Vargas and Wingrove, both of whom have rebounded this season after nightmarish 2021 campaigns. Hernandez, Garcia, Casey Martin, and Nicolas Torres, on the other hand, have struggled to perform at the A+ level, with the hitters particularly taking a hit after having already played at the A+ level prior.

Wednesday, April 6, 2022

2022 Phillies Prospect Rankings - Low-A

The Low-A stop was the first stop for a lot of first-time pros in 2021, especially members of the 2020 Phillies draft class and UDFA class. Many eventually advanced to A+, but of those who didn't, or moved up to Low-A, here are the rankings.

Mick Abel
Jared Wetherbee
Fernando Lozano
Cristian Hernandez
Alex McKenney
Jordi Martinez
Rafael Marcano
Yhoswar Garcia
Ethan Wilson
Samuel Aldegheri
Christian McGowan
Matt Osterberg
Jamari Baylor
Starlyn Castillo
Freylin Minyety

I actually ranked 29 players, but these were the top 15. Abel is obviously #1, and could start at Lakewood this season. Wetherbee surprised me with where I put him, but the older UDFA was very impressive in his short pro debut in 2021, and as a product of a good Elon program where he started he could have real upside, despite his age. Lozano is a rare Phillies prospect who is a product of the Mexican League, and showed well as both a starter and reliever for Clearwater last season. Hernandez was almost dealt to Pittsburgh, but his medicals scared the Pirates off. On the mound, Cristian maintained a 11.2 K/9 during a strong workload in his first season stateside at just 20.

Beyond this group is a mix of other younger relievers, recent signings, and a few hitters. Garcia, Wilson, and Baylor appear somewhat low here, but their placements are not as much to do about doubts in them but rather them having been passed by the pitchers above them. Aldegheri is a name not very well covered by prospect evaluators, but his 13.7 K/9 in his stateside debut at 19 was very curious. Could the club's Euro scouting gang have finally found their stud? McGowan, at 11, is a player without much in the way of numbers to go on, but is loved by scouts and could rise rapidly in the system. Castillo, a recent highly-ranked international amateur signing, showed well at times last season in his stateside debut, but is now headed for Tommy John Surgery.

2026 Phillies Mid-Season Top-31 Prospects - Yep, These are Definitely Prospects

Over the All-Star Break I finalized my top prospects list for the Phillies, so it's time now to break down the rankings. Firstly, I will...