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Tuesday, September 26, 2023

2023 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - A Levels

I've been lazy and not posted most of my mid-season prospect rankings for the Phillies, so here are the rankings for Low-A and High-A, respectively:

Justin Crawford
Wen-Hui Pan
William Bergolla Jr.^^
Noah Song
Emaarion Boyd
Jordan Dissin^
Samuel Aldegheri^
Alex McFarlane
Estibenzon Jimenez
Nikau Pouaka-Grego+
Eiberson Castellano
Jaydenn Estanista^
Jonh Henriquez
Alex Rao

Gabriel Rincones Jr.^^
Christian McGowan+
Marcus Lee Sang
Hao-Yu Lee
Mitch Nuenborn#
Wesley Moore^^
Tommy McCollum^
Jack Dallas^
Caleb Ricketts^

Obviously some of these players have moved around or are no longer in the system now.

Friday, July 14, 2023

2023 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - Rookie Levels

It's that time of year again - time for mid-season prospect rankings! As the MLB/Minors All-Star Break has occured, I have used this time to re-rank the Phillies prospects. Once again we start at the rookie levels, where the FCL Phillies hold a .5 game lead at 15-11 in the conplex league's North Division, while the two DSL affiliates once again are dominating the DSL's South Division. The reigning champions DSL Phillies White are 2nd in the DSL at 20-6, while the Red affiliate is 15-11. Here is a rundown of the top-10 prospects having topped out at these levels this season:

  1. Raylin Heredia
  2. Rickardo Perez+
  3. Junior Marin#
  4. Dakota Kotowski\/
  5. Eduardo Tait
  6. Starlyn Caba
  7. Maxwel Hernandez
  8. Enrique Segura
  9. Micah Ottenbreit\/
  10. Mavis Graves

Rickardo Perez has strangely not played yet this season due to a suspension, and to this end has gotten passed by Raylin Heredia, who has gone nuclear since moving up to the FCL, slashing .400/.480/.659 across 21 contests. The slugging percentage sets him apart from some of the other young position prospects whose power has yet to develop. Heredia has also produced 41 runs, stolen five bases, and hit five triples. Meanwhile, injuries have limited the newcomer Junior Marin to just 5 contests at the FCL, but the ex-Royals prospect showed quite well enough in the prior two seasons to be ranked highly regardless. Dakota Kotowski appears viewed by the origination as a organizational filler, but the ex-Miss State bopper has 9 home runs in 21 complex games, which can not be glossed over. Finally, keep an eye on the unheralded Eduardo Tait, who is just 16 but nevertheless has been one of the Red club's best hitters while also gunning down 44% of potential base-stealers. That performance jumps him past the higher-regarded Caba and Hernandez, who are also having strong seasons.

Monday, June 12, 2023

2023 AL Sleeper Prospects

And here is my list of sleepers for this season in the AL. Most of these were compiled months ago, but I got lazy and took some time completing the AL West. I cheated on most of these, whoops.

Toronto Blue Jays

Brandon Eisert/Yosver Zulueta

Jimmy Robbins

Hagen Danner/Jackson Rees

Baltimore Orioles

Ryan Watson

Noah Denoyer

Greg Cullen

Tampa Bay Rays

Kevin Kelly

N/A

Nick Dini

Boston Red Sox

Zack Kelly/Ronaldo Hernández

David Hamilton

Michael Gettys/Devlin Granberg

New York Yankees

Zach Greene/Austin Wells

Everson Pereira

Aaron McGarity/Matt Minnick/Andres Chaparro/Sean Boyle/Mickey Gasper

Cleveland Guardians

Cody Morris/Micah Pries

Andrew Misiaszek/Nick Mikolajchak

Jhon Romero

Kansas City Royals

Tanner Gentry/Brewer Hicklen

Logan Porter

Robbie Glendinning

Detroit Tigers

Freddy Pacheco/Mario Feliciano

Justyn-Henry Malloy/Reese Olson

Quincy Nieporte

Minnesota Twins

Edouard Julien

Matt Canterino/Brooks Lee

Alex Isola/Anthony Prato/Roy Morales

Chicago White Sox

Yolbert Sánchez

Nicholas Padilla

Johan Domínguez/Tyler Neslony

Los Angeles Angels

Logan O’Hoppe

Ben Joyce

Kolton Ingram

Houston Astros

Hunter Brown

Misael Tamarez

Joe Perez

Oakland Athletics

Yohel Pozo

Tyler Soderstrom

Chase Cohen

Seattle Mariners

Ryder Ryan

Isaiah Campbell

Dayeison Arias

Texas Rangers

Josh Jung

Lucas Jacobsen

Cole Ragans

2023 Phillies Prospect Rankings - MLB and AAA

I've neglected the last of my Phillies prospect postings for some time now. Here are the last two lists retroactive to Opening Day:

 

MLB:

Noah Song#

Simón Muzziotti

Michael Plassmeyer^

Dalton Guthrie^

Esteban Quiroz#

Francisco Morales

Jesús Cruz#

Luis Ortiz#

Damon Jones


AAA:

Griff McGarry^

Noah Skirrow^

Hans Crouse

Cody Roberts#

Jakob Hernandez

Matt Seelinger^

Will Toffey

Vito Friscia^

Dustin Peterson

Jeremy Walker#

Oliver Dunn#

Nick Allgeyer#

Cameron Cannon#

Trey Cobb#

Garrett Whitley#

Weston Wilson#

Freddy Francisco

Herbert Iser

Tuesday, May 2, 2023

Phillies Prospects on the Rise - April 2023

With April over, the first month of Minor League action is in the books. Thus, let’s look at some players in the Phillies system whose early work has improved their stock the most.


Gabriel Rincones Jr. - A hulking slugger who didn’t play after being drafted last year, Rincones has caught fire as the month has worn on. He now has four home runs in 20 games to go along with 13 stolen bases, 6 doubles, and 14 walks. If he continues to excel, expect to see him at Lakewood in the near future.


David Parkinson - It’s hard to think too highly of Parkinson as a prospect anymore after a disastrous pair of seasons, but the calculating lefty has looked rejuvenated so far for the Fightin’ Phils. Time will tell, but perhaps the year off was just what the doctor ordered here.


Ethan Wilson - It’s hard to take too much stock in a 9 game run, especially at Reading, but Wilson’s early success at the difficult-to-master level after prior struggles is encouraging. A .607 slugging percentage is a key stat here.


Hans Crouse - Crouse’s underlying stats are somewhat concerning, but a 2.31 ERA across 11.2 innings as a multi-inning relief threat are nice to see after a lost 2022.


Wen Hui Pan - The Taiwanese fireballer is off to a stellar start in his professional career at Clearwater, working to a miniscule 0.429 WHIP while mowing down 11 batters on strikes over 7 innings spread out over 3 outings so far. Quite polished for his age, expect the kid gloves to continue to come off on Pan over the next few months as he works into a starting role.


Nick Ward - An independent league get, Ward has shown off all of his tools so far this season, slashing .294/.464/.412 while going a perfect 7-7 on stolen base attempts.


Simón Muzziotti - After a slow Spring, Muzz has been amazing off the jump for Lehigh Valley, mashing .380/.390/.467 while playing strong defense across the outfield.


Noah Skirrow - Skirrow’s stuff isn’t electric, but he’s a strong pitch-to-contact pitcher who continued to succeed at Lehigh Valley. He could get a MLB look this season.


Oliver Dunn - Dunn staged a mini-breakout last season, but a .297/.408/.469 line in his return could show it was no fluke.


Orion Kerkering - A fireballer out of South Florida, Kerkering has yet to concede a run yet this season and pairs a 0.273 WHIP with a 16.0 K/9 rate.


Dalton Guthrie - It’s been more of the same for Guthrie, whose proving his success in 2022 was no fluke. He’s batting a strong .279/.380/.481.


Samuel Aldegheri - Aldegheri looks back in form after a lost 2022 season. In 15.2 innings, the Italian hurler has struck out 25 batters and allowed just 3 walks.


Mick Abel - It might not move the needle on where he’s ranked on top prospect lists, but a strong 4 game start at a hitter-friendly Reading is a great sign for the young Abel.


Wilfredo Flores - Injury concerns have slowed down this toolsy CF-turned-INF, but he’s off to a torrid 15-38 start in his first look at the A+ level.


Jhailyn Ortiz - It’s hard to take much out of just 10 games, but Ortiz has looked much better so far at Lehigh Valley than he did at Reading last season. His .278/.381/.500 slash numbers would be personal bests in full-season action.


Francisco Morales - Morales still carries an unfavorable 3.9 BB/9 rate, but that’s less than half of his number from last season, and his K/9 rate is around the same level as in 2022. Perhaps he’s finally cracked the code.


Jesús Cruz - Cruz has suffered from the same issue that plagued Morales in the past, but he has also walked less batters this season and also has maintained good strikeout numbers. Coupled with strong winter ball work, Cruz could indeed be figuring it out at last.


Jeremy Walker - Walker’s calling card is the ability to go multiple innings as a reliever. After a disastrous past three seasons, Walker’s limiting contact more than ever (7.4 H/9) - a good sign for his continued success.


Jordan Qsar - Qsar is an established Minor league power threat, but early returns at Lehigh Valley show better contact hitting and speed as well. He has 5 home runs and is 5-5 on steals in 22 games.


Esteban Quiroz - An established Minor League hitting threat, Quiroz had a down 2022, but has bounced back quite well so far, posting a .301/.463/.411 at Lehigh Valley, setting himself up to be one of the first names the Phillies could call if they suffer an infield injury.


Vito Friscia - Friscia’s missed time so far, but when he’s played he’s been quite good, slamming 3 blasts in 5 games.

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

2023 Phillies Prospect Rankings - AA

The Fightins struggled last season, finishing just 61-77 in the Eastern League, but as the season wore on more talent rose into the team's rotation and lineup. Let's break said players down.

Andrew Painter^
Mick Abel^
Carlos De La Cruz^
Johan Rojas
Albertus Barber^
Ethan Wilson^
Jhailyn Ortiz
Ethan Lindow
McKinley Moore
Josh Hendrickson
Braden Zarbnisky
Brett Schulze
Andrew Baker
Andrew Schultz

Painter, ranked amongst the top small handful of prospects in the game, is the obvious #1 here, but the talent continues on from there. Abel and De La Cruz had strong 2022 campaigns, boasting their stocks and putting both in position to potentially debut in 2023. From there, however, the talent drops off, in no small part due to names departing recently (Logan O'Hoppe, Billy Sullivan IV, and Ben Brown are just some names who would make this list if they weren't dealt). Plenty of RP talent still remains however. Barber had an up-and-down 2022, but his overall Minors numbers are nice. Moore (already promoted to the Majors since this list was compiled) has intriguing stuff and limits home runs well. Schulze was dominant again last season, and some others had down season but still have strong stuff.

2023 Phillies Prospect Rankings - High-A

While the club went only 51-81 last season, the Clearwater Threshers saw a lot of talent appear in their lineups and rotation last season. Which players who topped out there, however, have the most promise? Let's break it down.

Hao Yu Lee^
Christian McGowan
Tristan Garnett^
Erubiel Armenta
Victor Vargas
Cristian Hernandez
Rixon Wingrove
Marcus Lee Sang^
Sam Jacobsak
Jordan Fowler^
Nick Ward#
Andrick Nava
Baron Radcliff
Jordi Martinez
Rodolfo Sanchez^

The projectable Lee of course ranks first year after a tantalizing first full professional season. Could another year of growth and better health see Lee rise to prospect stardom in 2023? McGowan is still woaking his way back from Tommy John Surgery, but his tantalizing upside preserves his rank here. Garnett is a finesse guy who may face a tougher test this upcoming season, whereas Armenta, Vargas, and Hernandez have better stuff. Keep an eye on particular on the last of that group, whose stuff may play up as a reliever (as evinced in the AFL). Power hitters Wingrove, Ward, and Radcliff are power-first prospects who took great strides last season. Finally, keep an eye on Lee Sang, a 2019 11th rounder with CF experience who just turned 22 as a project guy who could open eyes this season.

2023 Phillies Mid-Season Prospect Rankings - A Levels

I've been lazy and not posted most of my mid-season prospect rankings for the Phillies, so here are the rankings for Low-A and High-A, r...